25 February 2014

COMMODITY OUTLOOK FOR TODAY 25/02/2014

Trading Call for the day: Sell Natural Gas in the range 330-330.5 with Stop Loss 335 Target 322. 
Precious metal
On yesterday’s trading session precious metals closed positive where Gold settled up 0.77% at 30120 rose reaching its highest level in month, as investors grew more anxious about economic and political uncertainty over Ukraine. Silver settled up 1.09% at 47985 posted solid gains on Monday after a data out of the Chinese housing sector fuelled concerns that the global economy still battles headwinds that will prompt the Fed to very gradually taper its monetary stimulus programs. The two commodities are expected to trade with positive bias for the day. Support for Gold is at 30000 & resistance at 30260. Support for Silver is at 47650 & resistance at 48350.
 Base metal
On yesterday’s trading session base metals closed with mixed views after data showed that Chinese home prices fell for the first time in 14 months in January and following reports that Chinese banks are cutting lending to property developers and other related companies.  Base metals traded with negative bias the whole trading session but later during the day base metals recovered from early losses and shown some signs that a little more bounce can come into picture. The base metals are expected to trade within the range for the day.
Crude oil
MCX Crude Oil settled up 0.64% at 6400 higher in choppy trade on Monday, as investors continued to weigh the potential weather drag on recent economic data and its impact on future oil demand. Crude Oil is having support at 6340 levels if broken and managed to sustain below that then further fall can be expected till 6290 levels.
Natural gas
MCX Natural Gas prices dropped after hitting a 5-year high settled down -8.79% at 345.40 dropped after updated weather-forecasting models called for a return of milder temperatures across the eastern U.S. after a blast of cold air moves out. Technically, after hitting 5-year high it could not sustain above that levels which shows signs of weakness and reversal but it would be too early to say that the commodity has reversed from its uptrend till the time it is in a formation of higher highs and higher lows on longer time frame charts. Support for Natural Gas is at 320 and resistance at 345.
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